Structural Evidence & Validation
The Evidence Behind the Market Framework Model
This page summarizes the structural foundations behind MFM. It provides high-level evidence for the three core layers of the framework: Regime, Phase, and Leadership.
The information presented here is conceptual and structural in nature. It does not include predictions, trading signals, or performance claims.The complete structural evaluation and empirical validation can be found on the Backtests & Validation pages.
MFM is not a trading system, not a signal generator, and not a performance model.
It is a structural interpretation framework designed to reveal when markets are coherent and when they are not.
Evidence overview
Markets generate continuous movement and noise. The purpose of the Market Framework Model is to reveal the structure that exists beneath that noise. This section presents the analytical and empirical foundation of the framework. It includes research results, methodological explanations, cross-asset observations, and practical examples illustrating how the structural layers of MFM behave in real market conditions.
The intention of this material is clarity, not prediction. MFM does not attempt to forecast future price movement.
Instead, it organizes market behavior into structural states that can be observed, tested, and evaluated.
The evidence presented here is intended to help users understand:
- what the model measures
- how it was tested
- where its limitations and boundaries lie
Three purposes
- First: Structural Research
The backtest research examines whether momentum phases behave as distinct structural states and whether these states recur consistently across different assets and market environments. The results document recurring structural patterns rather than performance outcomes. - Second: Methodological Transparency
The methodology sections explain how MFM states are defined, how forward tendencies are evaluated, and how the validation process was structured. This transparency ensures that the framework remains analyzable, testable, and falsifiable. - Third: Practical Interpretation
Case studies and cross-asset observations illustrate how regimes, phases, leadership, and structural tension zones appear on real price charts. These examples are interpretive and educational in nature and do not constitute financial advice.
Roles
The following pages form the complete evidence base of the Market Framework Model:
- Backtests
Complete research results and underlying data tables. - Methodology
Explanation of the research design and state classification logic. - Empirical Validation
Summary of what the observed results imply for the framework as a whole. - Cross-Asset Analysis
Examination of structural repetition across unrelated markets. - Case Studies
Real-world examples of structural behavior on price charts. - Deviation Framework (DFM)
How anomalies, shocks, and non-standard behavior fit within the model. - Verification & Replication
Guidance for independent evaluation and reproduction of results.
Access to the Full Structural Evaluation
The complete structural evaluation (including asset-by-asset observations, full methodological detail, and the comprehensive backtest report) is available as part of Full MFM framework access.
This material provides the complete evidence base behind the Market Framework Model and allows for deeper independent examination of its structural logic.